中国电子学会电子制造与封装技术分会会刊

中国半导体行业协会封测分会会刊

无锡市集成电路学会会刊

导航

电子与封装 ›› 2026, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (3): 030007 . doi: 10.16257/j.cnki.1681-1070.2026.0096

• “电子封装力学仿真方法进展及应用”专题 • 上一篇    下一篇

电子封装随机有限元建模与不确定性分析研究综述*

储柳1,黄亚威2   

  1. 1. 同济大学电子与信息工程学院,上海  201804;2. 上海科技大学大科学中心,上海  201210
  • 收稿日期:2025-09-29 出版日期:2026-04-02 发布日期:2026-02-02
  • 作者简介:储柳(1988—),女,江苏海安人,博士,副教授,主要研究方向为电子封装数值方法、随机缺陷不确定性量化方法、随机有限元方法。

Review of Stochastic Finite Element Modeling and Uncertainty Analysis in Electronic Packaging

CHU Liu1, HUANG Yawei2   

  1. 1. College of Electronic and Information Engineering,Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China; 2. Center for Transformative Science,ShanghaiTech University, Shanghai 201210, China
  • Received:2025-09-29 Online:2026-04-02 Published:2026-02-02

摘要: 电子封装异质互连结构是芯片微型化与功能集成的关键技术,其数值计算涉及多源不确定性、材料与几何非线性、多场耦合等复杂问题。近年来,随机有限元(SFEM)数值模拟在电子封装领域得到广泛应用,为不确定性量化分析与可靠性评估提供了重要方法。系统综述了电子封装异质互连结构在几何、材料及边界条件3类不确定性下的建模理论与数值实现。针对结构尺寸偏差、形貌翘曲、材料性能波动及工况扰动等多源随机性,构建了多场耦合SFEM、数据驱动SFEM与Kriging代理模型的综合分析体系。通过在热-力-电耦合方程中引入随机变量与随机场,实现高维不确定性传播与统计可靠性评估,推动封装系统由确定性仿真向概率化分析转变。基于数据驱动的SFEM框架融合实验、标准与仿真数据,实现多源不确定性变量的正则化与分布识别;Kriging代理模型则在高维非线性响应中兼顾结果预测与不确定性度量。相关研究为复杂电子封装系统的可靠性设计、寿命预测与数字孪生构建提供了可扩展的理论基础与数值支撑。

关键词: 电子封装, 异质互连, 随机有限元, 数据驱动

Abstract: Heterogeneous interconnect structures in electronic packaging are crucial technologies for chip miniaturization and functional integration. The numerical computation involves multi-source uncertainties, material and geometric nonlinearities, and multi-physics coupling. In recent years, stochastic finite element method (SFEM) numerical simulation has been widely used in electronic packaging, providing an effective tool for uncertainty quantification and reliability assessment. The modeling theory and numerical implementation methods of heterogeneous interconnect structures in electronic packaging under three types of uncertainties—geometric, material, and boundary conditions—are reviewed. To address multi-source stochasticity from structural dimensional deviations, morphological warpage, material property fluctuations, and operational perturbations, an integrated analysis framework combining multi-field coupled SFEM, data-driven SFEM, and Kriging surrogate modeling has been established. By integrating random variables and random fields into the thermo-mechanical-electrical coupling model, high-dimensional uncertainty propagation and statistical reliability assessment are realized, facilitating the transition from deterministic simulation to probabilistic analysis. The data-driven SFEM framework integrates experimental, standard, and simulation data to achieve regularization and distribution identification of multi-source uncertainty variables. The Kriging surrogate model simultaneously addresses prediction and uncertainty quantification in high-dimensional nonlinear responses. The research provides a scalable theoretical foundation and numerical support for the reliability design, lifetime prediction, and digital twin development of complex electronic packaging systems.

Key words: electronic packaging, heterogeneous interconnect, stochastic finite element method, data-driven

中图分类号: