中国电子学会电子制造与封装技术分会会刊

中国半导体行业协会封测分会会刊

无锡市集成电路学会会刊

导航

电子与封装

• 综述 •    下一篇

电子封装随机有限元建模与不确定性分析研究综述

储柳1,黄亚威2   

  1. 1. 同济大学电子与信息工程学院,上海  201804;2. 上海科技大学大科学中心,上海  201210
  • 收稿日期:2025-09-29 修回日期:2026-01-30 出版日期:2026-02-02 发布日期:2026-02-02
  • 通讯作者: 储柳
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(12572229)

Review of Stochastic Finite Element Modeling and Uncertainty Analysis in Electronic Packaging

CHU Liu1, HUANG Yawei2   

  1. 1. College of Electronic and Information Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China; 2. Center for Transformative Science, ShanghaiTech University, Shanghai 201210, China
  • Received:2025-09-29 Revised:2026-01-30 Online:2026-02-02 Published:2026-02-02

摘要: 电子封装异质互连结构是芯片微型化与功能集成的关键技术,其数值计算涉及多源不确定性、材料与几何非线性、多场耦合等复杂问题。近年来,随机有限元数值模拟在电子封装领域得到广泛应用,为不确定性量化分析与可靠性评估提供了重要方法。系统综述了电子封装异质互连结构在几何、材料及边界条件三类不确定性下的建模理论与数值实现。针对结构尺寸偏差、形貌翘曲、材料性能波动及工况扰动等多源随机性,构建了多场耦合随机有限元、数据驱动随机有限元与Kriging代理模型的综合分析体系。通过在热-力-电耦合方程中引入随机变量与随机场,实现高维不确定性传播与统计可靠性评估,推动封装系统由确定性仿真向概率化分析转变。基于数据驱动的随机有限元框架融合实验、标准与仿真数据,实现多源不确定性变量的正则化与分布识别;Kriging代理模型则在高维非线性响应中兼顾结果预测与不确定性度量。为复杂电子封装系统的可靠性设计、寿命预测与数字孪生构建提供了可扩展的理论基础与数值支撑。

关键词: 电子封装, 异质互连结构, 随机有限元, 数据驱动

Abstract: Heterogeneous interconnects in electronic packaging are crucial for chip miniaturization and functional integration. Their numerical analysis involves multi-source uncertainties, material and geometric nonlinearities, and multi-physics coupling. In recent years, stochastic finite element method (SFEM) simulation has been widely used in electronic packaging, providing an effective tool for uncertainty quantification and reliability assessment. This review concludes the modeling theory and numerical implementation methods under three types of uncertainties: geometric, material, and boundary conditions. We focus on dimensional deviations, warpage, material property fluctuations, and operational perturbations, summarizing current practices combining SFEM, data-driven SFEM, and Kriging surrogate models. By introducing random variables and random fields into the thermo-mechanical-electric coupling model, the research reviewed in this paper achieves high-dimensional uncertainty propagation and statistical reliability assessment, marking a shift from deterministic simulation to probabilistic analysis. We further review data-driven SFEM methods that integrate experimental, standard, and simulation data for regularization and identification of multi-source probabilistic variables; in addition, we review Kriging surrogate models that support high-dimensional nonlinear response prediction and uncertainty quantification. In summary, the reviewed literature provides a scalable theoretical and numerical foundation for the reliability design, lifetime prediction, and digital twin development of complex electronic packaging systems.

Key words: Electronic packaging, heterogeneous interconnects, stochastic finite element method, data-driven